Derby Preps: The Curse of Wildcat Red

Let’s start with the Florida Derby and poor, lil’ Wildcat Red (3-1). He hit the wire first in 5 of 6 lifetime starts and finished 2nd by a head in the other, yet nobody wants to ride him! Johnny V. slides into the saddle as the 5th rider in the past 5 starts. You […]

We Did Not Miss Artie!

The ever-so-slim victory by late-charging We Miss Artie in the Spiral affirmed two key points I posted just days before the race. First, a demonstration of superior early speed warrants a prime bet. (See “Overcoming Vertigo in the Spiral.”) Second, don’t let a secondary factor like an outside post dissuade you from making such […]

Derby Preps: Overcoming Vertigo in the Spiral

A field of 12 lines up for Turfway’s Spiral Stakes this weekend. Contestants ship in from multiple tracks and surfaces. They prepped for this race at 7.5 furlongs, 1-1/16th miles, a mile and an 1/8th. Fast horses. Slow horses. A couple of guys in a donkey suit. What’s a dizzy handicapper to do?
Focus!
If this were the […]

Derby Preps: San Felipe Stakes/Tampa Bay Derby

Afew years ago when asked about a full field in a weak Derby prep, I joked that bettors should just play the 3 longest shots on the board. Surprisingly, I was right. When I half-joked about that strategy in a similar situation the next year, I was right again. I’m not joking this time.
San Felipe […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 3 Preview

By our reckoning, Pools 1 and 2 churned up just one value play. We grabbed Noble Moon in Pool 1 at 63-1. He is 1 of just 7 horses from Pool 1 who remain on the Pool 3 list. A few horses just missed our value point in Pool 2, including Bobby’s Kitten who […]

Derby Preps: Gotham Stakes

The Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct features two horses who staged a thrilling gate-to-wire duel in the Withers Stakes last month. The winner, Samraat (5-2), will line up as the favorite again, while runner-up Uncle Sigh (3-1) enters the race as the morning line 2nd choice. That’s a lot of misdirected money filling the pools, so […]

Derby Preps: Risen Star Stakes

Yes, Intense Holiday (8-1) moves like a lethargic tourist in the early stages of his races. Yes, he’s done too little too late in nearly every race of his career. And yes, I like him to run down the flash-and-fade locals in the Risen Star Stakes.

My speed and pace ratings show him to be […]