Futures

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Bolo

Bolo: Contradictions Surface on Derby Trail

It may be that most comments by trainers and jockeys are not useful for the horseplayer, but Bolo’s trainer and jockey have provided us exceptions.

Trainer Carla Gaines recently noted that Bolo ran in the San Felipe because the horse’s owners wanted to try a dirt race, obviously hoping that they […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Dortmund

Dortmund: Winner of the “Larry David Award”
Most racing fans see the undefeated Dortmund as a horse who has done little wrong in his 5-race career. But if Bob Baffert could rename this horse right now, he’d probably go with CurbUREnthusiasm.
In a recent interview Baffert expressed disappointment that Dortmund had yet to experience traffic problems. […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Carpe Diem

The $1.6-Million Man
All Kentucky Derby discussions this year should start with the following two words: Carpe Diem. That’s not to say the top horse in Todd Pletcher’s barn is a lock to win the Kentucky Derby in May. However, he did make the loudest entrance and is living up to expectations.
Purchased for a whopping $1.6 million, […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #4

In the Churchill Downs Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #4, a few horses offer value. I make that determination based upon the principles in The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby. One horse qualifies for the Gold Standard I detail in the book, a few sit on the cusp and a few show some […]

This Weekend’s Notes: Missing Tourist

On Friday evening (March 21) I’ll post my analysis of the Spiral Stakes and the Sunland Park Derby. For now, I’ll just say Bill Mott’s Tourist (withdrawn from the Spiral) earned a small futures wager from me. You can still find him at 400-1 or so at some race books. Stay tuned for more. […]

Derby Preps: Winter Wrap-Up

Snow still covers the racetracks and crab shacks on much of the eastern edge of the Derby trail. Even so, the Kentucky Derby winter prep season is over.
March 1 marks the final Derby prep on Aqueduct’s winter surface, and Gulfstream has run the last of its 8.5-furlong preps. From here on, most horses enter […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 3 Preview

By our reckoning, Pools 1 and 2 churned up just one value play. We grabbed Noble Moon in Pool 1 at 63-1. He is 1 of just 7 horses from Pool 1 who remain on the Pool 3 list. A few horses just missed our value point in Pool 2, including Bobby’s Kitten who […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #2 Preview

Derby prognosticators…prepare to dance in a minefield. Churchill Downs rolls out its 2nd futures pool this week. About 30% of bets from Pool #1 last November already blew up. And only 9 of the 23 listed horses in Pool #1 show up on the list for Pool #2.

The LazyBettor.com analysis for Pool #1 included […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool 1

Churchill Downs now offers you the chance to bet the Kentucky Derby very early. Kind of like betting on which immature green fruit will ripen perfectly months from now. Futures Pool #1 lists 23 two-year-old prospects, many of whom have yet to race around two turns. Quite a risky venture.

One aspect of this pool raises […]