In Week 1, a second-place finish by Whitmore¬†in Oaklawn’s Southwest Stakes started the Lazy Bettor prep season with a small profit. We might have to settle for small margins again in the Risen Star Stakes at the Fairgrounds on Saturday.

Risen Star Stakes

A quick review of the past performances for this race suggests that a lot of people are hoping the $150,000 they spent at the breeders’ sale bought them a Derby contender. The Mark Casse trained¬†Airoforce snaps those folks back to reality this weekend.

Casse and owner John Oxley immediately recognized this horse as star material. Casse moved him from a maiden turf win into graded stakes company, where Airoforce notched 2 wins in 3 tries. His only loss was a narrow loss in the BC Juvenile Turf. After that loss, Casse added blinkers to the mix and moved Airoforce to the dirt, where he won again.

Airoforce stands out as the only top-notch horse in this field. He might not be 100% cranked for his first Derby prep, but his opposition includes slow frontrunners and a few closers who actually gave up the lead in the stretch vs. stakes horses. The morning-line odds of 5-2 on Airoforce would be a gift worth accepting.

CURRENT BANKROLL: $1,008
PRIME
BET: $20 Win and $40 Place on Airoforce at odds of 2-1 or higher

Roger LeBlanc