In the Churchill Downs Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #4, a few horses offer value. I make that determination based upon the principles in The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby. One horse qualifies for the Gold Standard I detail in the book, a few sit on the cusp and a few show some potential to get there.

Here’s my list of value plays in this pool based on current odds:

  • #3 Bobby’s Kitten qualifies as a Gold Standard play under the “Superfast Exception” of the Guide’s Gold Standard. Grab the 35-1 here before he wins his first stakes race of the year. He will get my largest wager in this pool.
  • #9 General A Rod fell just short of qualifying for my Silver Standard last time out. If you expect an improved performance (in terms of interior fractions and final eighth), he’s a play in this pool at 25-1.
  • #22 We Miss Artie stands at 33-1 currently. He falls short of the methods in the book, but his interesting mix of speed and ratability combined with a few major stakes wins make him worth a small play at this price.

—Roger LeBlanc