Handicapping

2015 Preview Crushes the Kentucky Derby!

“The best Derby bargain anywhere!”
The 2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview lived up to its promo. In the guide I listed three horses who fit the Gold Standard that appears in my book, The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby. Those horses ran 1st, 2nd and 3rd!
But wait! There’s more!
The 2015 Derby Preview […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Carpe Diem

The $1.6-Million Man
All Kentucky Derby discussions this year should start with the following two words: Carpe Diem. That’s not to say the top horse in Todd Pletcher’s barn is a lock to win the Kentucky Derby in May. However, he did make the loudest entrance and is living up to expectations.
Purchased for a whopping $1.6 million, […]

SMP Week #5 Bet Selections

Here are this weekend’s picks.

Gulfstream Park, Race 7
Swale Stakes, Grade 2
7 furlongs, dirt

#8 Bluegrass Singer (8-1)
$20 Win/Place

Santa Anita Park, Race 7
San Felipe Stakes, Grade 2
8.5 furlongs, dirt

#2 Ocho Ocho Ocho (4-1)
$20 Win/Place

The San Felipe: Three Eights Will Beat Baffert’s Pair of Aces

Bob Baffert’s Dortmund is joined by stablemate Lord Nelson in the San Felipe Stakes. Both colts are multiple stakes winners already and regarded as a tough pair to top this Saturday.
Prior to the RB Lewis Stakes, Dortmund looked like the 3-year-old to beat on the West Coast. His inability to relax early appeared to be […]

SMP Week #4 Bet Selections

In week #3 of the SMP, one winner emerged from the 4 selected bets. Following a strategy of betting $20 win and place, the return was $178 for $160 wagered. The SMP selections now have 2 winners out of 9 selections the past 3 weeks, for a flat-bet loss.
Here are this week’s picks.

Gulfstream Park, […]

By |February 28th, 2015|Horses|0 Comments|

Saturday Morning Post Betting Results

TOTAL BETS SINCE WEEK 1
This is the Results blog for selections listed in the Saturday Morning Post (SMP) column. Bets fall into one of two categories:

Low-priced overlays (nonfavorites at odds between 2-1 and 5-1)
Longshots (odds of 6-1 and higher)

TOTAL OF 56 BETS (28 selections win/place)
TOTAL WAGERED = $1,120
TOTAL RETURNED = $869

WIN = 17% (5 for […]

By |February 21st, 2015|Horses|0 Comments|

Botching the Belmont?

Knowing when to jump off a bandwagon is as important as knowing when to jump on. However, even when I click on the fabulous new Windows Hindsight Magnifier 1.0, I can’t kick myself too hard for nibbling at a few California Chrome exactas in the Belmont Stakes. The performance-related factors in his favor far outweighed the factors […]

2014 Belmont Stat Blast #1: Past 15 Triple Crown Candidates

Comedian Chris Rock once joked about the low-budget, indie film The Blair Witch Project. “People keep telling me they made it for $100,000. ‘You gotta see it. It’s amazing, and it only cost them $100,000 to make it!’ So I went to see it. Man, I tell ya, somebody’s walking around with $90,000 in their […]

2014 Belmont Stakes: Chrome’s Competition (or Lack Thereof)

Last winter California Chrome fooled me. His victories in races restricted to California state-breds featured pace and final times far inferior to pace and final figures of top stakes horses. That’s pretty much what you’d expect from a winner of restricted minor stakes. So despite his trouncing of those rivals, I saw him as […]

2014 Preakness: The Match Race That Wasn’t!

The headline reads: “Untapable to Challenge California Chrome in Preakness!” Only in our dreams, racing fans! Only in our wildest dreams. Untapable heads for the Acorn Stakes at Belmont, while California Chrome invades Crimea…errr…marches into Maryland for the Preakness.

From the LazyBettor’s perspective, a duel between the two impressive 3-year-olds held the potential to create […]