Kentucky Derby

2015 Preview Crushes the Kentucky Derby!

“The best Derby bargain anywhere!”
The 2015 Lazy Bettor Kentucky Derby Preview lived up to its promo. In the guide I listed three horses who fit the Gold Standard that appears in my book, The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby. Those horses ran 1st, 2nd and 3rd!
But wait! There’s more!
The 2015 Derby Preview […]

Leaning Hard on the Bard: Much Ado About Bolo

“To Bolo, or not to Bolo, that is the question—
Whether this bettor has a mind to suffer
The slings and arrows of Baffert’s outrageous fortune,
And to stake alms against those favored doubles,
And by opposing, cash ′em?”’
Last week I confidently removed Bolo from my list of true contenders for the crown of roses. Carla Gaines’ talented turfer […]

A Few Words About American Pha-Whoa!

If you missed the Arkansas Derby on Saturday, treat yourself to a replay immediately. Go ahead. I’ll wait.
2015 Arkansas Derby Replay
Bab Baffert’s star 3-year-old American Pharoah dazzled both his rivals and his fans. He left the gate with gusto, settled very nicely in 2nd behind runaway leader Bridget’s Big Luvy, and then transcended racing as […]

Historical Prep-Race Comparisons

Here’s a look at where this year’s prep-race stars rank with winner of major Kentucky Derby prep races in years past.
(Lazy Bettor Gold Standard
Qualifiers in Gold)

Arkansas Derby Winners
2003 Sir Cherokee……………….1:48.1
2015 American Pharoah……..1:48.2
2012 Bodemeister………………..1:48.3
2005 Afleet Alex………………….1:48.4
2009 Papa Clem………………….1:49.0
2000 Graeme Hall……………….1:49.0
2001 Balto Star……………………1:49.0
2011 Archarcharch………………1:49.1
2010 Line of David……………..1:49.1
2010 Super Saver (2nd)……….1:49.2
2004 Smarty Jones……………..1:49.2
2008 Gayego……………………..1:49.3
2014 Danza………………………..1:49.3
2007 Curlin………………………1:50.0
2002 Private […]

Stevens Firing Another Winning Shot?

Not many jockeys own a picture of themselves adorned with roses aboard a Kentucky Derby winner. Gary Stevens owns three.
Stevens shoots for his fourth Kentucky Derby win this Saturday aboard longshot Firing Line. And who could blame him if he made this winner’s-circle photo poster sized?
Now 51 years old, the Idaho-born Stevens returns to […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Dubai Sky

Dubai Sky: Running Where the Grass Is Greener

Bill Mott seldom catches the Derby Fever that afflicts most other trainers every spring. When he entered his turf star Dubai Sky in the Spiral Stakes in mid-March, wise bettors wagered it was a level-headed decision. Mott saw his horse as a legitimate Derby prospect.
Dubai Sky confirmed Mott’s […]

2015 Louisiana Derby: An Underachievers Convention in New Orleans

This year’s edition of the Louisiana Derby should be renamed “the Broken Dreams Derby” or “the Last Chance Handicap.”  It features a wallet-busting lineup of Kentucky Derby prospects who contested stakes races in other places to no avail.
Bettors might be wise to side with the best of the local boys.

Todd Pletcher’s shipper Sanford couldn’t come […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Daredevil

Daredevil: Pletcher’s Sideshow Act

High-level success by a two-year-old is not often followed by the same in the horse’s three-year-old campaign. Daredevil’s win in the Grade 1 Champagne last fall is therefore—if ironically—a reason to actually downgrade his status as a Kentucky Derby contender.
Another reason is how he won the race: on the lead on a wet track at Belmont, the […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Dortmund

Dortmund: Winner of the “Larry David Award”
Most racing fans see the undefeated Dortmund as a horse who has done little wrong in his 5-race career. But if Bob Baffert could rename this horse right now, he’d probably go with CurbUREnthusiasm.
In a recent interview Baffert expressed disappointment that Dortmund had yet to experience traffic problems. […]

Kentucky Derby Snapshots: Carpe Diem

The $1.6-Million Man
All Kentucky Derby discussions this year should start with the following two words: Carpe Diem. That’s not to say the top horse in Todd Pletcher’s barn is a lock to win the Kentucky Derby in May. However, he did make the loudest entrance and is living up to expectations.
Purchased for a whopping $1.6 million, […]