The 2 Lazy Line picks went 1-1 last week. After Washington blew a late lead and failed to cover in Detroit, the Seahawks played to an OT tie with the Cardinals as 2-point ‘dogs. The Lazy Bettor NFL picks stand at 6-2-1 against the spread (ATS) for the year.

In terms of betting units, my season betting record is now 7-3-1, or +4 units. Assuming $100 units, I’m up $370 for the season.

This week value is tough to find, but I do see one shining nugget. I’ll also take a buckshot approach at a trio of Over/Under totals.

NFL Week 8 Lazy Line Bets
Arizona at Carolina –3
Lazy Line: Arizona –3

Sometimes what’s past is past. I’m talking about Cam Newton’s magic season, the Panthers defensive dominance and the soft schedule that created those illusions in 2015!

The Panthers are 0-2 against last year’s playoff teams and 0-3 vs. teams with winning records so far this year. This week they face a Cardinals team that went toe to toe with one of the top 3 franchises in the NFL (the Seahawks) and proved equal to the challenge. Although the Panthers come off a bye, they face the most complete team they’ve seen this year.

Give the Cardinals the edge at coaching staff, QB, RB and WR. Then give them a few points for defensive dominance in this game. And then toss in the Cardinals desire to get revenge for the embarrassing playoff loss in Carolina last year.

You can see, can’t you, how this blows apart the Vegas spread that favors the Panthers? Take the gift-wrapped 3 points and the Cardinals for 2 units.

NFL Week 8 O/U Speculation
Patriots at Buffalo, 47.5 points
Cardinals at Panthers, 47.5 points

Seahawks at Saints, 48 points

Look at those high-end totals! Now consider that the Patriots, Seahawks and Cardinals are 3 of the top 5 defenses in the NFL in points allowed.

The play here is to bet 1 unit on the Under in all 3 games because there’s a high likelihood that at least 2 will stay under the total.

The sturdy Pats defense catches a break, with RB McCoy out for Buffalo. If the weather turns foul, the Under will look even better!

The Cardinals defense, which tore apart Seattle last week, faces a Panthers offense smothered this year by good defense. The Panthers put up only 20 points in Denver and only 10 vs. the Vikings. If Cam Newton is at less than 100% coming off a concussion-related absence, at least one team in this game won’t break the 20-point mark.

Finally, the battered Seahawks land in New Orleans as favorites. Seattle’s offensive line is a shambles, Wilson still can’t scramble and former Saints TE Jimmy Graham still isn’t the star he once was in New Orleans. Look for the Seahawks to eat up a lot of clock by running the ball so that Wilson doesn’t end up with a limb ripped off. And look for the Seahawks defense to cut the Saints point production to half of the usual output.

Roger LeBlanc