Kentucky Derby Stat Blast #1

Sometimes truths in a set of stats jump out at you. Other times you need to interpret stats at length before they can help you. Speed figures (adjusted final-time figures) allegedly improve raw times and are considered a necessity. But do these manipulated times really offer a sharper view of reality than unvarnished clockings?

I […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #4

In the Churchill Downs Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #4, a few horses offer value. I make that determination based upon the principles in The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby. One horse qualifies for the Gold Standard I detail in the book, a few sit on the cusp and a few show some […]

This Weekend’s Notes: Missing Tourist

On Friday evening (March 21) I’ll post my analysis of the Spiral Stakes and the Sunland Park Derby. For now, I’ll just say Bill Mott’s Tourist (withdrawn from the Spiral) earned a small futures wager from me. You can still find him at 400-1 or so at some race books. Stay tuned for more. […]