Horse racing

SMP Week #3 Bet Selections

Gulfstream Park, Race 8
Grade 2 Davona Dale Stakes (3yo fillies)
8 furlongs, dirt

#6 Puca (10-1)
$20 Win/Place
Gulfstream Park, Race 11
Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes
8.5 furlongs, Dirt

#4 Itsaknockout (4-1)
$20 Win/Place
Fairgrounds, Race 10
Grade 3 Rachel Alexandra Stakes (3yo fillies)
8.5 furlongs, Dirt

#7 Freudie Anne (8-1)
$20 Win/Place
Fairgrounds, Race 11
Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes
8.5 furlongs, Dirt

#3 Bluff (12-1)
$20 Win/Place

By |February 21st, 2015|Horses|0 Comments|

SMP #1. Feb. 7, 2015

Let’s talk longshots.
Mark Cramer, a master at picking longshots, once published a study that showed legitimate longshots (horses running at 8-1 or higher) finished 2nd twice as often as they won. On some days I’d swear that they run 2nd 10 times more often than they win.
I recommend a bankroll-saving and sanity-enhancing place bet accompany all […]

By |February 7th, 2015|Horses|0 Comments|

2014 Kentucky Derby: High-Profile Pretenders

To accessorize my favorite topic, Kentucky Derby pretenders, I’ve created categories named after songs by The Pretenders. Unknowingly back in the early 1980s, lead singer Chrissie Hynde spun a credo gamblers would be wise to follow:
It’s hard to live by rules
I never could, and still never do
To find value, handicappers need to embrace the […]

Kentucky Derby Futures Pool #2 Preview

Derby prognosticators…prepare to dance in a minefield. Churchill Downs rolls out its 2nd futures pool this week. About 30% of bets from Pool #1 last November already blew up. And only 9 of the 23 listed horses in Pool #1 show up on the list for Pool #2.

The analysis for Pool #1 included […]