Always Dreaming, Always Cashing

The LazyBettor approach to betting the Kentucky Derby prevailed again. The 2017 Kentucky Derby Preview: An Embarrassment of Riches concluded with the following advice:

I recommend betting primarily on Always Dreaming, with Hence and Classic Empire as minor backups. In other words arrange your bets so that your largest potential payoff will be with an Always Dreaming victory.

That registers as the 4th consecutive top-pick Kentucky Derby winner since publication of The Lazy Bettor’s Guide to the Kentucky Derby in November 2013. Congratulations to all who followed that advice.

As a bit of trivia to further confirm we’re all on the right track, consider the winning trainer, Todd Pletcher. Published far and wide prior to this year’s Kentucky Derby was Pletcher’s dismal Derby record. Just one winner out of 45 or so starters.

Not coincidentally and not published at all was the fact that Pletcher’s only winner was his only Gold Standard qualifier out of those 45 starters. Super Saver rose to that esteemed level in 2010.

Pletcher is now 2 for 2 when fielding a Gold Standard horse in the Kentucky Derby. The only record more impressive than that belongs to readers, who now own a 4 for 4 record in that classic race.

Top Kentucky Derby Speed Figures
(2-turn races only)

LazyBettor prev..Always Dreaming, 1st in Ky Derby
Beyer speed figure (2 tied for top Beyer)
…….Classic Empire, 4th in Ky Derby
…….J Boys Echo, 15th in Ky Derby
BRIS speed fig…Classic Empire, 4th in Ky Derby

LazyBettor prev……Nyquist, 1st in Ky Derby
Beyer speed fig……Exaggerator, 2nd in Ky Derby
BRIS speed fig..Danzing Candy, 15th in Ky Derby

LazyBettor prev.American Pharoah, 1st in Ky Derby
Beyer speed fig…Materiality, 6th in Ky Derby
BRIS speed fig…..Frosted, 4th in Ky Derby

LazyBettor prev..California Chrome, 1st in Ky Derby
Beyer speed fig..California Chrome, 1st in Ky Derby
BRIS speed fig…California Chrome, 1st in Ky Derby

Roger LeBlanc
May 12, 2017

No Comments

Post A Comment