SMP Week #6 Bets

Week #6 of the Saturday Morning Post features three recommended bets. Two fall into the Longshot category, and one fits the Low-Priced Overlay category, which has been more successful.

A brief word about the longshots:

  • Thundergram returned to Oaklawn looking to replicate his earlier 2-turn success there. He followed that flash-and-fade comebacker with a sharp 5-furlong work. Now he meets claimers for the first time and gets a positive rider switch. Trainer Mark Casse has 5 wins at OP, all with Bridgmohan aboard.
  • At Gulfstream in the 5-furlong Silks Run Stakes on the turf, Golden Rifle offers value (morning line 12-1). He drops and shortens after an attempted theft of a Grade 1 turf route. He fits James Quinn’s “power sprinter” angle: a competitive but unsuccessful stakes frontrunner around two turns who can press and outlast fast sprinters.

Oaklawn Park, Race 3
$50K claimer, 8 furlongs, dirt
#12 Thundergram (8–1)
$20 win/place

Oaklawn Park, Race 8
Razorback Hcp., 8.5 furlongs, dirt
#6 Carve (3–1)
$20 win/place

Gulfstream Park, Race 11
Silks Run Stakes, 5 furlongs, turf

#5 Golden Rifle (12–1)
$20 win/place (only if run on the turf)

No Comments

Post A Comment